Muslim Demographics - A Christian Response...Continued from page 4
Richard Abanes
DIGGING DEEPER
Another highly dubious claim concerns the average fertility rate for
Muslims in France (i.e., 8.1 per family). The claim is almost certainly
false. Where did the figure originate in the first place? Not a single
country in the world has a fertility rate so high. The closest countries
would be Niger, Guinea-Bissau, and Afghanistan, according to Wiki, with
rates of 7.19, 7.07, and 7.07
respectively (2005-2010). NationMaster listed the top three countries
as Niger, Uganda and Somalia, with rates of 7.34, 7.29, and 6.81 (People Statistics). The CIA puts Niger, Mali, and Uganda in the top slots with fertility rates of 7.75, 7.29, and 6.77 (Total Fertility Rate, CIA).
After an entire day of researching, I could not find any place where
the video’s 8.1 figure might have originated. I did, however, discover
that the majority of Muslims in France are immigrants from three
countries: Algeria, Morocco, Tunisia (Muslims in Europe: Country Guide).
What are the fertility rates in these countries? They are: 2.38 , 2.38,
1.93 (per UN TFR Ranking)! Does it make any sense at all that people
moving to France from countries with such low fertility rates would for
some inexplicable reason suddenly start having 8.1 children?! Consider,
too, these equally false statements from the video.
VIDEO: “In the Netherlands, 50% of all newborns are Muslim.”
TRUTH: “There are approximately 1 millio
n Muslims in the
Netherlands, a nation of 16.6 million people. . . . Muslims makeup
about 6% of the total population. Yet, we’re supposed to believe 50% of
the children born in the Netherlands are Muslim? The fertility rate in
the Netherlands is 1.66 children per person. Mathematically, Muslims in
the Netherlands would need to have 26 children to makeup 50% of the
births in the country” (
Muslim Demographics).
And according to The Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic
Institute (NIDI), “Based on projections of the future number of
migrants, it is easy to calculate that Muslims will remain a minority
in the future” (see this
PDF File).